Golden State Warriors 2022/2023 Predictions

Filed in Sports by on July 10, 2022 0 Comments

Golden State Warriors 2022/2023 Predictions

In the NBA, teams have a finite amount of time to win a championship. With players aging and contracts coming to an end, every team has a limited window to win a title. While some teams lock up their best players with long-term contracts to give them the best chance of winning now, others trade those same players at peak value to set themselves up for future success.

 

The Golden State Warriors are one of the latter. The Warriors are in an excellent position moving forward because they have locked up their core players with cost-effective contracts that don’t restrict them from signing other key free agents or making trades as they continue their climb towards another NBA title. That’s not to say that other teams haven’t done this before; they just didn’t do it with such perfect timing. Let’s take a look at how these deals impact the Warriors over the next few years, and what their chances are of bringing home another championship during that time span.

Golden State Warriors 2022 Offseason

The Warriors have one massive move looming during the 2022 offseason, and it has to do with Klay Thompson. Golden State will have to decide whether or not to offer Klay a max contract worth close to $40 million annually. The team can also choose to let him walk and let him sign for another team. If the Warriors offer Klay a max deal, he will be 31 years old when that contract ends. At that point, Golden State will have to pay him either $100 million as a 35-year-old in the last year of his contract or $36 million to keep him on their team for two more seasons. On the other hand, if they don’t offer him a max deal, he can sign for another team for the max, and that team would be on the hook for the entirety of the contract.

Golden State Warriors 2022-2023: Klay Thompson’s Extension and Dewayne Dedmon’s Contract

With Klay’s contract situation being the biggest focus of the 2022 offseason, the Warriors have also made another move to have more money available to pay Klay.

 

In October of 2021, the Warriors traded Kevon Looney, who is set to make $1.5 million next season, and $3 million the following season, to the Atlanta Hawks for Dewayne Dedmon. Dedmon will be an unrestricted free agent in the 2022 offseason, but it is expected that he will be offered a new contract before then, and the Warriors will have the ability to match any offer. While Dedmon doesn’t provide anything as a scorer, he is a great rebounder, has one of the best interior defensive reputations in the league, and can shoot from the free-throw line.

GSW 2023 Offseason

The Warriors will have another decision to make in the 2023 offseason, but this one will be a lot easier than the previous one. With Draymond Green likely retiring around this time, the Warriors will need to either pay him $100 million as a 35-year-old or $36 million to keep him on the team for his final season. While Green has been a critical part of the Warriors’ success over the last five years, his contract situation could also have a negative impact on Golden State’s chances at re-signing Steph Curry, Andre Iguodala, and Shaun Livingston.

GSW 2022/2023 Klay Thompson’s Contract and the Importance of Shooting

The most obvious concern with offering Klay Thompson a max contract is the fact that he is a career 31% 3-point shooter. While the league average is 34% right now, teams have been shooting the long ball more frequently over the last few years.

 

If this trend continues, teams will likely shoot more closely to the rim, which will make it harder for Golden State to score. With that in mind, it makes sense for the Warriors to wait until the 2023 offseason to offer Klay a max deal instead of doing so in 2022.

 

By waiting two years, Golden State can examine whether or not teams have continued to shoot from 3, or if the league has started moving back towards the basket. If teams have moved closer to the rim, the Warriors can offer Klay a max contract with confidence that he will continue to be a productive member of the team for years to come. If the 3-point shots continue to fall, the team could offer Klay a max deal in 2022, just not at the same amount as they would in 2023.

GSW 2022/23 Andre Iguodala’s Extension and Defence

Andre Iguodala has been an essential part of the Warriors’ roster for a long time, and it will likely be around for at least a few more years. While Golden State could just wait until the offseason to offer Iguodala a new contract, they are likely to do so during the season to save a bit of money.

 

Iguodala is likely to make around $18 million next season, and the team could save around $7 million by waiting until he is a free agent to offer him a new contract. By offering the 12-year veteran an extension during the upcoming season, Iguodala will have one more year left on his contract when Klay Thompson’s new deal comes into play. This gives the Warriors a bit of extra time to make sure that they have enough money to pay both players.

GSW 2022/23 Steph Curry’s Contract and the Importance of 3 Point Shooting

The biggest reason to wait until the 2023 offseason to offer Klay Thompson a max contract is because of the importance of Steph Curry’s contract. The two-time MVP is currently signed for $40 million for the next two years, and that contract is the only thing keeping Golden State from paying Klay $40 million a year.

 

Curry’s contract is expected to increase significantly, but only by as much as the Collective Bargaining Agreement will allow. Once the NBA’s new labour deal is agreed upon, there will be a salary cap, and that cap will be determined by the league’s basketball related income. Golden State Warriors 2022/2023 Predictions

 

The salary cap is based on how much money the NBA makes in a given year, but the league’s BRI changes every year. Basketball related income is increased by the amount of playoff games, the number of sellouts at NBA arenas, and the amount of money that fans spend on merchandise related to their favourite teams. The league has no control over the amount of playoff games and sellouts, but they can control the amount of money that fans spend on merchandise.

Shaun Livingston’s Extension and Importance to the Team

Shaun Livingston has been a vital part of Golden State’s success over the last few years, and the team will likely want to keep him around for at least a couple more years.

 

With Klay Thompson’s contract coming into play during that time and Draymond Green’s likely retirement, Golden State will only have two players under contract for the 2023 season:

Steph Curry and Livingston. When the team signs Curry to his massive new contract, there is a very high probability that the salary cap has been raised to over $150 million. Once the NBA has over $20 billion in revenue, the league can ask for a raise, and they usually get it.

 

By waiting until the 2023 offseason to offer Livingston a new contract, the Warriors can lock him up while the salary cap is still relatively low. The team will also have a better idea of what the salary cap will be, which will make it easier to pay their core players and other key free agents.Golden State Warriors 2022/2023 Predictions

Draymond Green’s Contract and Importance to the Team

The final benefit to waiting until the 2023 offseason to extend contracts is that it will give the Warriors more time to re-evaluate Green’s contract situation.

 

If the team decides that they don’t want Green on the roster, they can let him walk and sign him as an unrestricted free agent, or they can offer him a below-market contract to keep him on the team.

 

Whatever the decision is, the Warriors will at least have more information about how much money they will have to pay their other core players and other key free agents. If the team decides that they want Green to finish his career in Golden State, they can offer him a new contract at that time.

Conclusion

The Golden State Warriors are in an excellent position moving forward because they’ve locked up their core players with cost-effective contracts that don’t restrict them from signing other key free agents or making trades.Golden State Warriors 2022/2023 Predictions

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